CI
CuriosityStream Inc. (CURI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue beat and improved profitability metrics: CuriosityStream delivered $18.4M revenue, up 46% YoY and above its prior guide, with gross margin at 58.7%, Adjusted EBITDA at $3.0M, and Adjusted FCF at $4.8M . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat ($18.36M actual vs $16.35M estimate*) while EPS missed (-$0.06 actual vs -$0.03 estimate*) [GetEstimates].
- Guidance implies continued momentum: Q4 revenue guided to $18–$20M and Q4 Adjusted FCF to $2.5–$3.5M, with CFO noting this implies FY25 revenue of $70–$72M and FY25 Adjusted FCF of $12–$13M .
- AI licensing is scaling: Licensing revenue rose ~425% YoY to $8.7M in Q3 on 18 fulfillments across 9 partners, underpinned by a nearly 2M-hour licensed library and upgraded data-structuring capabilities .
- Capital returns and balance sheet remain supportive: The Board declared another $0.08 dividend payable Dec 19, 2025; liquidity stood at $29.3M (cash, restricted cash, and securities) with no debt; warrants expired post-quarter reducing overhang .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: Clear revenue beat, expanding AI licensing pipeline and Q4 guide could support sentiment; EPS miss was driven by non-cash SBC and one-time offering costs, which management flagged as non-recurring drivers of the GAAP loss .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- AI licensing acceleration: Q3 licensing revenue reached $8.7M (+~425% YoY), with 18 fulfillments across 9 partners and a nearly 2M-hour library positioned for AI training; CEO: “we believe we will solidify our position as the leader or among the top two or three video licensors for AI development” .
- Profitability and cash generation: Gross margin improved to 58.7%; Adjusted EBITDA was $3.0M (third straight positive quarter); Adjusted FCF was a record $4.8M; operating cash flow was a record $4.5M .
- Subscription momentum and distribution: Subscription revenue was $9.3M (sequential increase) with launches across the U.S., Australia, New Zealand, and Germany; FAST/AVOD distribution expanded on Amazon, Roku, LG, and Truth+ .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP loss on non-cash/one-time items: Net loss was $3.7M (vs. -$3.1M LY), driven by ~$7.0M non-cash SBC and one-time costs tied to an August secondary; CFO said G&A would have declined excluding these .
- Operating expense optics: Combined A&M + G&A were $15.3M in Q3; CFO cited a
52% YoY increase due primarily to non-cash SBC ($7M) and offering-related costs . - EPS miss vs Street: EPS was -$0.06 vs S&P Global consensus of -$0.03*, reflecting the above SBC/one-time items [GetEstimates].
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown (where disclosed):
KPIs and balance sheet highlights:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on AI leadership and opportunity: “we believe we will solidify our position as the leader or among the top two or three video licensors for AI development” and expect double-digit growth in revenue and cash flow driven by subscriptions, licensing, and advertising .
- CEO on smoothing licensing volatility: Pursuing operationally more partners and contractually content-as-a-service (subscription-like access with minimums) to reduce lumpiness .
- CFO on Q3 loss drivers and expense optics: “non-cash SBC of $7,000,000… and a number of one-time expenses associated with our August secondary stock offering… Were it not for these… we would have posted our third quarterly net income this year” .
- CEO on subscriptions outlook: Expects overall subscription revenue to grow faster in 2026 than 2025, aided by launches and new pricing/packaging (including a premium tier) .
- CFO on capital returns: Intends to fully cover 2026 dividends from operating cash (as in 2024) .
Q&A Highlights
- Smoothing AI licensing revenue: Management plans to add partners and use CAS (content-as-a-service) structures with minimums to reduce quarter-to-quarter lumpiness .
- SBC details and G&A: Market-based awards drove unusually high SBC; majority of the year’s grants expensed in Q3; G&A would have declined excluding SBC and offering costs .
- Q4 FCF guide timing: Limited growth vs revenue guide primarily due to timing, per management .
- Library composition and rights depth: Overwhelming majority of the nearly 2M hours corpus is aimed at AI licensing; expanding into general entertainment and sports to enhance breadth and value .
- Dilution and overhang: ~6.7M warrants expired unexercised post-quarter, reducing potential dilution and eliminating overhang from those instruments .
Estimates Context
Q3 results versus S&P Global consensus:
Q4 setup (consensus vs company guidance):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue trajectory is intact and diversified: Q3 beat on revenue with strong gross margins and cash generation; AI licensing is scaling alongside subscription momentum and nascent advertising .
- EPS miss was non-cash driven: The GAAP loss and EPS miss stemmed from ~$7M non-cash SBC and one-time offering costs; Adjusted EBITDA/FCF were solid, supporting the quality of earnings narrative .
- AI licensing moat expanding: Nearly 2M hours of rights-cleared content, bespoke data structuring, and repeat fulfillments position CURI among top licensors; management is moving to CAS structures to smooth revenue .
- 4Q guide supports FY acceleration: Q4 revenue $18–$20M and Adjusted FCF $2.5–$3.5M, implying FY25 revenue $70–$72M and FY25 Adjusted FCF $12–$13M; potential estimate revisions upward on revenue/FCF .
- Capital returns sustained: Another $0.08 dividend declared (Dec 19) with management intent to cover 2026 dividends from operating cash; warrants expiration reduces dilution risk .
- Watch items: Path to GAAP profitability as SBC normalizes; progress on subscription growth into 2026 with pricing/packaging changes; further partner adds and CAS adoption to reduce licensing lumpiness .
- Trading lens: Revenue beat and AI momentum are near-term positives; clarity on SBC normalization and sustained cash flow should drive multiple support; any incremental AI partner announcements could act as catalysts .
Appendix: Additional Quantitative Detail
YoY growth context (management disclosures):
- Q1 revenue +26% YoY; first-ever positive net income and Adjusted EBITDA .
- Q2 revenue +53% YoY; record net income and record Adjusted EBITDA .
- Q3 revenue +46% YoY; Adjusted EBITDA turned to +$3.0M; Adjusted FCF up 88% .
Forward-looking guidance and commentary:
- Q4 revenue $18–$20M; Q4 Adjusted FCF $2.5–$3.5M .
- FY25 revenue implied $70–$72M; FY25 Adjusted FCF implied $12–$13M .
- 2026: management expects subscription growth to accelerate; intends to cover 2026 dividends from operating cash .