Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

CI

CuriosityStream Inc. (CURI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue beat and improved profitability metrics: CuriosityStream delivered $18.4M revenue, up 46% YoY and above its prior guide, with gross margin at 58.7%, Adjusted EBITDA at $3.0M, and Adjusted FCF at $4.8M . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat ($18.36M actual vs $16.35M estimate*) while EPS missed (-$0.06 actual vs -$0.03 estimate*) [GetEstimates].
  • Guidance implies continued momentum: Q4 revenue guided to $18–$20M and Q4 Adjusted FCF to $2.5–$3.5M, with CFO noting this implies FY25 revenue of $70–$72M and FY25 Adjusted FCF of $12–$13M .
  • AI licensing is scaling: Licensing revenue rose ~425% YoY to $8.7M in Q3 on 18 fulfillments across 9 partners, underpinned by a nearly 2M-hour licensed library and upgraded data-structuring capabilities .
  • Capital returns and balance sheet remain supportive: The Board declared another $0.08 dividend payable Dec 19, 2025; liquidity stood at $29.3M (cash, restricted cash, and securities) with no debt; warrants expired post-quarter reducing overhang .
  • Near-term stock reaction catalysts: Clear revenue beat, expanding AI licensing pipeline and Q4 guide could support sentiment; EPS miss was driven by non-cash SBC and one-time offering costs, which management flagged as non-recurring drivers of the GAAP loss .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • AI licensing acceleration: Q3 licensing revenue reached $8.7M (+~425% YoY), with 18 fulfillments across 9 partners and a nearly 2M-hour library positioned for AI training; CEO: “we believe we will solidify our position as the leader or among the top two or three video licensors for AI development” .
    • Profitability and cash generation: Gross margin improved to 58.7%; Adjusted EBITDA was $3.0M (third straight positive quarter); Adjusted FCF was a record $4.8M; operating cash flow was a record $4.5M .
    • Subscription momentum and distribution: Subscription revenue was $9.3M (sequential increase) with launches across the U.S., Australia, New Zealand, and Germany; FAST/AVOD distribution expanded on Amazon, Roku, LG, and Truth+ .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP loss on non-cash/one-time items: Net loss was $3.7M (vs. -$3.1M LY), driven by ~$7.0M non-cash SBC and one-time costs tied to an August secondary; CFO said G&A would have declined excluding these .
    • Operating expense optics: Combined A&M + G&A were $15.3M in Q3; CFO cited a 52% YoY increase due primarily to non-cash SBC ($7M) and offering-related costs .
    • EPS miss vs Street: EPS was -$0.06 vs S&P Global consensus of -$0.03*, reflecting the above SBC/one-time items [GetEstimates].

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.09 $19.01 $18.36
Gross Margin (%)53.1% 53.4% 58.7%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.32 $0.78 -$3.74
Diluted EPS ($)$0.01 $0.01 -$0.06
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.10 $3.02 $2.98
Net Cash from Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$1.92 $2.79 $4.54
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$2.01 $2.86 $4.85

Segment revenue breakdown (where disclosed):

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 2025Q3 2025
Subscriptions$9.3 $9.3
Licensing$9.3 $8.7

KPIs and balance sheet highlights:

KPI / Balance SheetQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
AI licensing fulfillments (cumulative)18 18
AI licensing partners (cumulative)8 9
Licensed library size“over 1 million hours” 1.8M+ hours nearly 2M hours
Liquidity: cash, restricted cash & securities ($M)$39.1 $30.7 $29.3
Dividend declared per share$0.08 $0.08 (ordinary) + $0.10 (special total $0.18) paid in Jun $0.08 declared, payable Dec 19

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ4 2025$18–$20M New
Adjusted Free Cash FlowQ4 2025$2.5–$3.5M New
Adjusted Free Cash FlowFY 2025$11–$13M (as of Q2) $12–$13M implied by Q4 guide Raised (narrowed/up)
RevenueFY 2025$70–$72M implied by Q4 guide New (implied)
DividendOngoing$0.08/quarter (Q2) $0.08/quarter reaffirmed; Q4 payable Dec 19 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
AI licensing scale and durabilityQ1: Multi-format licensing; argued de facto recurring as partners “want seconds and thirds” and highlighted need for billions of video hours . Q2: Leadership focus, >1M hours library, improving data-structuring capabilities .18 fulfillments across 9 partners; “nearly 2M hours” licensed library; higher cost-per-minute bespoke deals; expects partners to double/triple in 2026; aiming among top 2–3 licensors .Accelerating
Subscription trajectoryQ1: Direct subscriptions tied to disciplined marketing; wholesale launches expected to support growth . Q2: Sequential growth; multiyear wholesale deals in Asia/LatAm/U.S. .Sequential increase again; launches in U.S., Australia, NZ, Germany; expects faster subscription growth in 2026 with new pricing/packaging and premium tier .Improving
Advertising/FASTQ2: Expanding FAST presence (Samsung TV Plus Spain) .U.S. Hispanic and flagship FAST channels launched on Amazon, Roku, LG, Truth+; planning to hire proven leader for business in early 2026 .Building
Cost discipline and SBCQ1: Opex rationalization; GM improvement on lower content amortization . Q2: A&M+G&A down YoY excl. SBC; GM 53% .Q3 GM 58.7%; but SBC ~$7M and one-time offering costs lifted G&A; CFO detailed market-based awards’ accounting .Mixed (core efficiency up; SBC spike)
Capital allocation/dividendsQ1: Dividend doubled to $0.08; intent to pay from operations over time . Q2: Ordinary plus special dividend paid; ~6.5% yield at time .Q3: Declared $0.08 payable Dec 19; CFO intends to cover 2026 dividends from operating cash .Shareholder-friendly
Balance sheet & dilutionQ2: ~$30.7M liquidity, no debt .Q3: $29.3M liquidity, no debt; 6.7M warrants expired post-quarter, reducing potential dilution/overhang .Stable to improving

Management Commentary

  • CEO on AI leadership and opportunity: “we believe we will solidify our position as the leader or among the top two or three video licensors for AI development” and expect double-digit growth in revenue and cash flow driven by subscriptions, licensing, and advertising .
  • CEO on smoothing licensing volatility: Pursuing operationally more partners and contractually content-as-a-service (subscription-like access with minimums) to reduce lumpiness .
  • CFO on Q3 loss drivers and expense optics: “non-cash SBC of $7,000,000… and a number of one-time expenses associated with our August secondary stock offering… Were it not for these… we would have posted our third quarterly net income this year” .
  • CEO on subscriptions outlook: Expects overall subscription revenue to grow faster in 2026 than 2025, aided by launches and new pricing/packaging (including a premium tier) .
  • CFO on capital returns: Intends to fully cover 2026 dividends from operating cash (as in 2024) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Smoothing AI licensing revenue: Management plans to add partners and use CAS (content-as-a-service) structures with minimums to reduce quarter-to-quarter lumpiness .
  • SBC details and G&A: Market-based awards drove unusually high SBC; majority of the year’s grants expensed in Q3; G&A would have declined excluding SBC and offering costs .
  • Q4 FCF guide timing: Limited growth vs revenue guide primarily due to timing, per management .
  • Library composition and rights depth: Overwhelming majority of the nearly 2M hours corpus is aimed at AI licensing; expanding into general entertainment and sports to enhance breadth and value .
  • Dilution and overhang: ~6.7M warrants expired unexercised post-quarter, reducing potential dilution and eliminating overhang from those instruments .

Estimates Context

Q3 results versus S&P Global consensus:

MetricActualConsensusBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$18.36 $16.35*Beat
Primary EPS ($)-$0.06 -$0.03*Miss

Q4 setup (consensus vs company guidance):

MetricCompany GuidanceConsensusContext
Revenue ($USD Millions)$18–$20 $18.91*Guidance brackets Street
Primary EPS ($)-0.0067*No EPS guide provided

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue trajectory is intact and diversified: Q3 beat on revenue with strong gross margins and cash generation; AI licensing is scaling alongside subscription momentum and nascent advertising .
  • EPS miss was non-cash driven: The GAAP loss and EPS miss stemmed from ~$7M non-cash SBC and one-time offering costs; Adjusted EBITDA/FCF were solid, supporting the quality of earnings narrative .
  • AI licensing moat expanding: Nearly 2M hours of rights-cleared content, bespoke data structuring, and repeat fulfillments position CURI among top licensors; management is moving to CAS structures to smooth revenue .
  • 4Q guide supports FY acceleration: Q4 revenue $18–$20M and Adjusted FCF $2.5–$3.5M, implying FY25 revenue $70–$72M and FY25 Adjusted FCF $12–$13M; potential estimate revisions upward on revenue/FCF .
  • Capital returns sustained: Another $0.08 dividend declared (Dec 19) with management intent to cover 2026 dividends from operating cash; warrants expiration reduces dilution risk .
  • Watch items: Path to GAAP profitability as SBC normalizes; progress on subscription growth into 2026 with pricing/packaging changes; further partner adds and CAS adoption to reduce licensing lumpiness .
  • Trading lens: Revenue beat and AI momentum are near-term positives; clarity on SBC normalization and sustained cash flow should drive multiple support; any incremental AI partner announcements could act as catalysts .

Appendix: Additional Quantitative Detail

YoY growth context (management disclosures):

  • Q1 revenue +26% YoY; first-ever positive net income and Adjusted EBITDA .
  • Q2 revenue +53% YoY; record net income and record Adjusted EBITDA .
  • Q3 revenue +46% YoY; Adjusted EBITDA turned to +$3.0M; Adjusted FCF up 88% .

Forward-looking guidance and commentary:

  • Q4 revenue $18–$20M; Q4 Adjusted FCF $2.5–$3.5M .
  • FY25 revenue implied $70–$72M; FY25 Adjusted FCF implied $12–$13M .
  • 2026: management expects subscription growth to accelerate; intends to cover 2026 dividends from operating cash .